International Choice Modelling Conference, International Choice Modelling Conference 2017

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A Joint Mode/Destination Type Choice Model for Hurricane Evacuation
Chester Gordon Wilmot, Ravindra Gudishala

Last modified: 28 March 2017


In this study a joint mode and destination type choice model was developed based on evacuation behavior captured in a post hurricane Irene behavior survey. A Nested Logit model specification was used with destination type being modeled in the upper nest and mode choice in the lower nest. As anticipated, the estimated model showed significant dependence between mode and destination type choice. Variables in the model included household socio-demographic characteristics, measures of social connectivity within communities, and a proxy variable of the level of transit service provided in each zone. The study provides insight into some of the factors affecting mode and destination type choice of residents during hurricane evacuation.

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